Saturday 20 October 2018, 16:30
Mercedes-Benz Arena
Full time
29%
27%
44%
Home win
28.8%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
44.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / Borussia Dortmund | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
9.9
|
7.9
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
13.0
|
9.1
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
7.1
|
5.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.7
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-3
VfB Stuttgart
Feb 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 2024
VfB Stuttgart
5-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
Nov 2023
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.