Wednesday 26 September 2018, 21:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
50%
26%
23%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
23.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / VfB Stuttgart | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / VfB Stuttgart | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
6.7
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
12.6
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.5
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
VfB Stuttgart
1-0
RB Leipzig
Nov 2025
RB Leipzig
3-1
VfB Stuttgart
May 2025
RB Leipzig
2-3
VfB Stuttgart
Jan 2025
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
RB Leipzig
Jan 2024
VfB Stuttgart
5-2
RB Leipzig
Aug 2023
RB Leipzig
5-1
VfB Stuttgart
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.