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Saturday 12 May 2018, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
80% 15% 5%
Home win
79.6%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
5.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 79.6% 1.26
Draw 15.1% 6.61
VfB Stuttgart 5.3% 18.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.33
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.60
Over 2.5 54.5% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.5% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.1% 3.11
Under 3.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.2% 6.19
Under 4.5 83.8% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.8% 2.87
No 65.2% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 94.7% 1.06
Bayern München / VfB Stuttgart 84.9% 1.18
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 20.4% 4.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
13.3
6.9
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
16.3
7.8
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.9
6.2
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
7.7
3.7
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.