Sunday 8 April 2018, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
60.9%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
15.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / VfB Stuttgart | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / VfB Stuttgart | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
11.1
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-3
VfB Stuttgart
Feb 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 2024
VfB Stuttgart
5-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
Nov 2023
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.