Saturday 28 April 2018, 19:30
BayArena
Full time
54%
26%
19%
Home win
54.2%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
19.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / VfB Stuttgart | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / VfB Stuttgart | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
6.6
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
12.4
|
5.1
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
9.5
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
VfB Stuttgart
3-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-4
VfB Stuttgart
Mar 2025
VfB Stuttgart
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
VfB Stuttgart
Apr 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-2
VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2023
VfB Stuttgart
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.