Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Monday 9 April 2018, 21:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
RB Leipzig
1–4
HT 1–1
Bayer Leverkusen
53% 23% 24%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
23.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 53.4% 1.87 — —
Draw 23.0% 4.34 — —
Bayer Leverkusen 23.6% 4.24 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.92 — —
Over 1.5 83.8% 1.19 — —
Under 1.5 16.2% 6.17 — —
Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Under 2.5 37.5% 2.67 — —
Over 3.5 40.3% 2.48 — —
Under 3.5 59.7% 1.68 — —
Over 4.5 22.4% 4.47 — —
Under 4.5 77.6% 1.29 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
No 37.9% 2.64 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 76.4% 1.31 — —
RB Leipzig / Bayer Leverkusen 77.0% 1.30 — —
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 46.6% 2.15 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
4.4
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
7.2
10.4
6.2
2.6
0.8
0.2
2
7.7
9.7
6.1
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
5.1
6.4
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
2.5
3.1
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
1.0
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

RB Leipzig
L D D W W
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D

Head to head

May 2026 Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig Dec 2025 RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen Jan 2025 RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen Aug 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig Jan 2024 RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen Aug 2023 Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.