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Saturday 31 March 2018, 16:30 BayArena Full time
55% 24% 21%
Home win
54.9%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
21.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 54.9% 1.82
Draw 23.6% 4.24
FC Augsburg 21.5% 4.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.88
Over 1.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.3% 5.19
Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.3% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 3.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.40
Under 4.5 81.5% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.6% 1.74
No 42.4% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 78.5% 1.27
Bayer Leverkusen / FC Augsburg 76.4% 1.31
Draw / FC Augsburg 45.1% 2.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
4.9
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
8.8
11.1
5.8
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.6
6.2
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.6
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.