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Saturday 17 March 2018, 16:30 WWK Arena Full time
43% 27% 31%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
30.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 42.6% 2.34
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Werder Bremen 30.6% 3.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.95
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.27
Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.4% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 3.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.3% 6.98
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.9% 1.79
No 44.1% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 69.4% 1.44
FC Augsburg / Werder Bremen 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Werder Bremen 57.4% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
7.3
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.2
1
9.0
12.7
7.4
3.1
1.0
0.2
2
7.3
9.0
5.6
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.6
4.5
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.4
1.7
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.