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Saturday 21 April 2018, 19:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
4–0
HT 1–0
Bayer Leverkusen
56% 21% 23%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
23.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 55.6% 1.80 — —
Draw 21.2% 4.72 — —
Bayer Leverkusen 23.2% 4.31 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.55 — —
Over 1.5 88.2% 1.13 — —
Under 1.5 11.8% 8.44 — —
Over 2.5 70.1% 1.43 — —
Under 2.5 29.9% 3.35 — —
Over 3.5 49.0% 2.04 — —
Under 3.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Over 4.5 29.8% 3.36 — —
Under 4.5 70.2% 1.42 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.7% 1.48 — —
No 32.3% 3.09 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 76.8% 1.30 — —
Borussia Dortmund / Bayer Leverkusen 78.8% 1.27 — —
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 44.4% 2.25 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
3.2
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
1
5.4
8.8
5.8
2.7
1.0
0.3
2
6.6
9.2
6.5
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
4.9
6.8
4.8
2.2
0.8
0.2
4
2.7
3.8
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.2
1.7
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
W W L W L
Bayer Leverkusen
W L D W W

Head to head

Apr 2026 Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Nov 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund May 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 Borussia Dortmund Jan 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen Apr 2024 Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Dec 2023 Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.