Sunday 15 April 2018, 16:30
VELTINS-Arena
Full time
41%
25%
33%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
33.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 / Draw | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 / Borussia Dortmund | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
6.3
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
11.8
|
7.8
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
8.9
|
6.3
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
4.7
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
FC Schalke 04
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2022
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
FC Schalke 04
Feb 2021
FC Schalke 04
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2020
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
FC Schalke 04
May 2020
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
FC Schalke 04
Oct 2019
FC Schalke 04
0-0
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.