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Saturday 21 April 2018, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
37% 30% 33%
Home win
36.8%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
33.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 36.8% 2.72
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Werder Bremen 33.0% 3.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.94
Over 1.5 66.9% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.1% 3.02
Over 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.17
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.55
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 67.0% 1.49
VfB Stuttgart / Werder Bremen 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Werder Bremen 63.2% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
10.6
6.2
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
11.4
14.1
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
7.1
7.8
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
2.8
3.0
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.