Skip to content
Saturday 5 May 2018, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
9% 16% 75%
Home win
8.9%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
75.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 8.9% 11.22
Draw 15.6% 6.41
Bayern München 75.5% 1.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.69
Over 1.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.8% 7.25
Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 2.5 33.2% 3.02
Over 3.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 3.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 4.5 26.4% 3.79
Under 4.5 73.6% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.3% 1.91
No 47.7% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 24.5% 4.08
1. FC Köln / Bayern München 84.4% 1.18
Draw / Bayern München 91.1% 1.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
8.0
11.0
9.6
6.3
3.3
1
2.2
7.3
9.0
7.9
5.2
2.7
2
1.1
2.8
3.7
3.2
2.1
1.1
3
0.3
0.8
1.0
0.9
0.6
0.3
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.