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Saturday 28 April 2018, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
40% 27% 32%
Home win
40.4%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
32.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 40.4% 2.48
Draw 27.5% 3.64
1. FC Köln 32.2% 3.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.77
Over 1.5 74.9% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.1% 3.98
Over 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.74
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 67.8% 1.47
SC Freiburg / 1. FC Köln 72.5% 1.38
Draw / 1. FC Köln 59.6% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
8.0
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
1
9.3
13.1
7.6
3.1
1.0
0.2
2
7.1
8.7
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
3.3
4.1
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.2
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.