Saturday 5 May 2018, 16:30
Mercedes-Benz Arena
Full time
30%
29%
41%
Home win
29.8%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
41.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / 1899 Hoffenheim | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
11.2
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
13.7
|
8.5
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
7.0
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.5
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
3-3
VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2025
VfB Stuttgart
0-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
1-1
VfB Stuttgart
Oct 2024
VfB Stuttgart
1-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Mar 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
0-3
VfB Stuttgart
Oct 2023
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
1899 Hoffenheim
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.