Saturday 21 April 2018, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
44%
24%
32%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
31.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / 1899 Hoffenheim | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
5.0
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
10.7
|
7.5
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
9.0
|
6.7
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
5.3
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.4
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
RB Leipzig
5-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
3-1
RB Leipzig
Apr 2025
RB Leipzig
3-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
4-3
RB Leipzig
May 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
1-1
RB Leipzig
Dec 2023
RB Leipzig
3-1
1899 Hoffenheim
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.