Sunday 2 September 2018, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
67%
18%
15%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
14.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.1% | 8.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
8.0
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.4
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
7.8
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
4.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
RB Leipzig
2-2
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Dec 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
0-3
RB Leipzig
Jan 2019
Fortuna Dusseldorf
0-4
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.