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Sunday 29 April 2018, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
31% 26% 43%
Home win
31.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
42.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 31.3% 3.19
Draw 26.0% 3.85
RB Leipzig 42.7% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 16.00
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.78
Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 3.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 3.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.7% 6.00
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70
No 41.3% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 57.3% 1.74
FSV Mainz 05 / RB Leipzig 74.0% 1.35
Draw / RB Leipzig 68.7% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
8.1
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
1
6.6
12.2
9.1
4.7
1.9
0.6
2
4.8
7.6
6.0
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.1
3.3
2.6
1.4
0.5
0.2
4
0.7
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.