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Sunday 22 April 2018, 16:30 WWK Arena Full time
49% 27% 24%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 48.9% 2.04
Draw 27.2% 3.67
FSV Mainz 05 23.8% 4.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.30
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.06
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.8% 2.01
No 50.2% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 76.2% 1.31
FC Augsburg / FSV Mainz 05 72.8% 1.37
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 51.1% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
7.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
11.6
12.9
6.0
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.3
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.8
4.7
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.8
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.