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Saturday 12 May 2018, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
42% 27% 31%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
31.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 41.8% 2.39
Draw 27.0% 3.70
RB Leipzig 31.2% 3.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.60
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.19
Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.18
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.5% 1.80
No 44.5% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 68.8% 1.45
Hertha Berlin / RB Leipzig 73.0% 1.37
Draw / RB Leipzig 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
7.5
5.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
1
9.0
12.8
7.5
3.1
1.0
0.2
2
7.2
8.9
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.5
4.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.