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Saturday 5 May 2018, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
60% 23% 17%
Home win
60.1%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 60.1% 1.66
Draw 23.3% 4.29
VfL Wolfsburg 16.6% 6.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.07
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.37
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.32
Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.34
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.84
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 83.4% 1.20
RB Leipzig / VfL Wolfsburg 76.7% 1.30
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 39.9% 2.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
5.0
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
11.2
11.1
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.1
9.8
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
7.0
6.2
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.3
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.