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Sunday 16 September 2018, 19:00 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
31% 32% 37%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
37.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 30.6% 3.27
Draw 32.2% 3.11
VfB Stuttgart 37.2% 2.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.0% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.0% 7.13
Over 1.5 60.8% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 2.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 2.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.7% 6.80
Under 3.5 85.3% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.24
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.2% 2.43
No 58.8% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 62.8% 1.59
SC Freiburg / VfB Stuttgart 67.8% 1.47
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.0
13.4
7.6
2.7
0.7
0.2
1
11.7
14.3
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
5.9
6.4
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.9
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.