Skip to content
Sunday 26 August 2018, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
34% 32% 34%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
34.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 34.0% 2.94
Draw 31.9% 3.14
VfB Stuttgart 34.2% 2.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.43
Over 1.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.44
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.98
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.36
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 65.8% 1.52
FSV Mainz 05 / VfB Stuttgart 68.1% 1.47
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 66.0% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
12.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
12.2
14.3
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
6.7
7.0
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.3
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.