Saturday 12 May 2018, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
40%
27%
33%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
32.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Werder Bremen | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
7.9
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
13.0
|
7.7
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.7
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.1
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Werder Bremen
0-2
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Werder Bremen
Jan 2025
Werder Bremen
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
Werder Bremen
Feb 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
Werder Bremen
Sep 2023
Werder Bremen
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.