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Saturday 5 May 2018, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
42% 25% 34%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 41.8% 2.39
Draw 24.6% 4.07
Bayer Leverkusen 33.6% 2.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.20
Over 1.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.5% 6.04
Over 2.5 61.9% 1.61
Under 2.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 3.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 4.5 78.1% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.1% 1.56
No 35.9% 2.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 66.4% 1.51
Werder Bremen / Bayer Leverkusen 75.4% 1.33
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
5.5
4.6
2.3
0.9
0.3
1
6.3
11.0
7.8
3.9
1.5
0.4
2
5.9
8.8
6.6
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.3
5.0
3.7
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.4
2.1
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.