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Sunday 29 April 2018, 19:00 Weser-Stadion Full time
34% 24% 42%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
42.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 33.8% 2.95
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Borussia Dortmund 42.1% 2.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.40
Over 1.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.2% 6.57
Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Under 2.5 35.9% 2.79
Over 3.5 42.0% 2.38
Under 3.5 58.0% 1.73
Over 4.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 4.5 76.2% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.8% 1.52
No 34.2% 2.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 57.9% 1.73
Werder Bremen / Borussia Dortmund 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 66.2% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
5.8
5.6
3.3
1.4
0.5
1
5.1
10.6
8.7
5.1
2.2
0.8
2
4.4
7.8
6.8
4.0
1.7
0.6
3
2.3
4.0
3.5
2.1
0.9
0.3
4
0.9
1.6
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.