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Saturday 1 September 2018, 19:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
17% 26% 57%
Home win
17.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
56.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 17.3% 5.79
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Bayern München 56.7% 1.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.38
Over 1.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.9% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.4% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.6% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.4% 4.46
Under 3.5 77.6% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.24
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 43.3% 2.31
VfB Stuttgart / Bayern München 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Bayern München 82.7% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
13.9
11.9
6.4
2.6
0.9
1
6.3
12.1
9.3
5.1
2.1
0.7
2
2.8
4.5
3.7
2.0
0.8
0.3
3
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.