Friday 24 August 2018, 21:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
73%
16%
11%
Home win
73.4%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
10.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 10.8% | 9.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Bayern München / 1899 Hoffenheim | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 26.6% | 3.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
6.9
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
8.1
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.6
|
5.6
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bayern München
5-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayern München
May 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
0-4
Bayern München
Jan 2025
Bayern München
5-0
1899 Hoffenheim
May 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2
Bayern München
Jan 2024
Bayern München
3-0
1899 Hoffenheim
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.