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Saturday 12 May 2018, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
49% 22% 28%
Home win
49.4%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
28.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 49.4% 2.02
Draw 22.3% 4.48
Borussia Dortmund 28.3% 3.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.40
Over 1.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.2% 8.22
Over 2.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 3.5 48.2% 2.07
Under 3.5 51.8% 1.93
Over 4.5 29.1% 3.43
Under 4.5 70.9% 1.41

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.9% 1.45
No 31.1% 3.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 71.7% 1.39
1899 Hoffenheim / Borussia Dortmund 77.7% 1.29
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 50.6% 1.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
3.7
3.2
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
5.2
9.2
6.7
3.4
1.3
0.4
2
5.9
9.0
6.9
3.5
1.3
0.4
3
4.0
6.1
4.7
2.4
0.9
0.3
4
2.1
3.2
2.4
1.2
0.5
0.1
5
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.