Friday 21 September 2018, 21:30
Mercedes-Benz Arena
Full time
41%
32%
27%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
27.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.4% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.5% | 6.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.4% | 18.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Fortuna Dusseldorf | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
10.8
|
5.1
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
14.1
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
7.6
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.