Saturday 15 September 2018, 16:30
Merkur Spielarena
Full time
30%
26%
44%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
44.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf / 1899 Hoffenheim | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
8.0
|
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.1
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
7.4
|
6.0
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.2
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2019
1899 Hoffenheim
1-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Feb 2019
1899 Hoffenheim
1-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.