Saturday 29 September 2018, 19:30
BayArena
Full time
36%
24%
40%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
39.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / Borussia Dortmund | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
5.6
|
5.2
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
10.6
|
8.5
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
8.1
|
6.9
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
4.3
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
May 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-4
Borussia Dortmund
Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.