Skip to content
Saturday 25 August 2018, 19:30 Borussia-Park Full time
41% 25% 34%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
33.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 40.7% 2.46
Draw 25.4% 3.93
Bayer Leverkusen 33.9% 2.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.17
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.31
Over 2.5 58.3% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Over 3.5 35.9% 2.78
Under 3.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 4.5 19.0% 5.28
Under 4.5 81.0% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.4% 1.63
No 38.6% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 66.1% 1.51
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Bayer Leverkusen 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 59.3% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
6.3
5.0
2.4
0.9
0.2
1
7.0
11.7
7.9
3.8
1.4
0.4
2
6.1
8.8
6.3
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
3.3
4.7
3.4
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.3
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.