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Saturday 22 September 2018, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
48% 23% 29%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 47.9% 2.09
Draw 22.7% 4.40
Borussia Dortmund 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.65
Over 1.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.8% 7.81
Over 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.7% 3.16
Over 3.5 46.8% 2.14
Under 3.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 4.5 27.9% 3.59
Under 4.5 72.1% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.2% 1.47
No 31.8% 3.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 70.6% 1.42
1899 Hoffenheim / Borussia Dortmund 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 52.1% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
4.0
3.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
1
5.3
9.5
6.9
3.5
1.4
0.4
2
5.8
9.0
6.9
3.5
1.3
0.4
3
3.9
5.9
4.6
2.3
0.9
0.3
4
1.9
3.0
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.