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Friday 14 September 2018, 21:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
61% 22% 17%
Home win
61.2%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 61.2% 1.63
Draw 22.0% 4.55
Eintracht Frankfurt 16.8% 5.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.15
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.22
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.81
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.7% 5.36
Under 4.5 81.3% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.8% 1.82
No 45.2% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Borussia Dortmund / Eintracht Frankfurt 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Eintracht Frankfurt 38.8% 2.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
4.2
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
9.4
10.4
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
10.0
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.9
6.7
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
3.5
3.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.