Saturday 15 September 2018, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
81%
12%
7%
Home win
81.2%
Draw
12.2%
Away win
6.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.2% | 8.17 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.6% | 15.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.4% | 42.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.7% | 10.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Bayer Leverkusen | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
7.9
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
6.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
Bayern München
Nov 2025
Bayern München
3-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
Bayern München
Sep 2024
Bayern München
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern München
Sep 2023
Bayern München
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.