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Saturday 1 September 2018, 16:30 BayArena Full time
59% 24% 18%
Home win
58.6%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
17.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 58.6% 1.71
Draw 23.5% 4.25
VfL Wolfsburg 17.8% 5.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.96
Over 1.5 77.6% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.4% 4.47
Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Over 3.5 30.9% 3.23
Under 3.5 69.1% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.3% 6.53
Under 4.5 84.7% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 82.2% 1.22
Bayer Leverkusen / VfL Wolfsburg 76.5% 1.31
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 41.4% 2.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
5.0
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
10.7
11.2
5.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
10.6
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.6
6.2
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.1
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.