Sunday 23 September 2018, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
56%
24%
21%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
20.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 17.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / FSV Mainz 05 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
5.0
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
11.2
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.9
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
6.2
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2025
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
May 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.