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Wednesday 26 September 2018, 19:30 Merkur Spielarena Full time
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–2
HT 0–0
Bayer Leverkusen
43% 28% 28%
Home win
43.5%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
28.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fortuna Dusseldorf 43.5% 2.30 — —
Draw 28.2% 3.55 — —
Bayer Leverkusen 28.4% 3.53 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.03 — —
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39 — —
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.54 — —
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21 — —
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Over 3.5 24.0% 4.17 — —
Under 3.5 76.0% 1.32 — —
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.32 — —
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.7% 1.97 — —
No 49.3% 2.03 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fortuna Dusseldorf / Draw 71.6% 1.40 — —
Fortuna Dusseldorf / Bayer Leverkusen 71.8% 1.39 — —
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 56.5% 1.77 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
8.3
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
10.9
13.4
6.9
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
8.2
8.9
4.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.8
4.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fortuna Dusseldorf goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf
L D W D
Bayer Leverkusen
W L L L W

Head to head

Jan 2020 Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf Aug 2019 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen Feb 2019 Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.