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Saturday 6 October 2018, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
67% 19% 14%
Home win
67.2%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 67.2% 1.49
Draw 19.1% 5.22
FC Augsburg 13.7% 7.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.66
Over 1.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.5% 6.46
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 3.5 41.7% 2.40
Under 3.5 58.3% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.24
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.4% 1.77
No 43.6% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Borussia Dortmund / FC Augsburg 80.9% 1.24
Draw / FC Augsburg 32.8% 3.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
3.1
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
8.2
8.9
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
10.1
9.7
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
7.8
7.5
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
4.5
4.4
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
2.1
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.