Tuesday 25 September 2018, 21:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
84%
11%
5%
Home win
84.2%
Draw
11.2%
Away win
4.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.2% | 8.90 | — | — |
| FC Augsburg | 4.6% | 21.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 32.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.3% | 8.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Bayern München / FC Augsburg | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Augsburg | 15.8% | 6.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
5.3
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
7.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.1
|
7.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.0
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bayern München
1-2
FC Augsburg
Aug 2025
FC Augsburg
2-3
Bayern München
Apr 2025
FC Augsburg
1-3
Bayern München
Nov 2024
Bayern München
3-0
FC Augsburg
Jan 2024
FC Augsburg
2-3
Bayern München
Aug 2023
Bayern München
3-1
FC Augsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.