Saturday 29 September 2018, 16:30
Mercedes-Benz Arena
Full time
41%
30%
29%
Home win
40.9%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
29.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.3% | 8.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.1% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / Werder Bremen | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.3
|
9.8
|
5.3
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
14.0
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
8.2
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart
1-1
Werder Bremen
Dec 2025
Werder Bremen
0-4
VfB Stuttgart
Apr 2025
VfB Stuttgart
1-2
Werder Bremen
Nov 2024
Werder Bremen
2-2
VfB Stuttgart
Apr 2024
Werder Bremen
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2023
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
Werder Bremen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.