Sunday 16 September 2018, 16:30
Weser-Stadion
Full time
50%
28%
22%
Home win
50.2%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
22.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen / Draw | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen / FC Nurnberg | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Nurnberg | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
7.5
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
13.0
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.2
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.