Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Sunday 28 October 2018, 22:00 Orange Vélodrome Full time
Marseille
0–2
HT 0–0
Paris Saint Germain
23% 22% 55%
Home win
22.8%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
55.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Marseille 22.8% 4.38 — —
Draw 21.7% 4.60 — —
Paris Saint Germain 55.4% 1.80 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.7% 27.28 — —
Over 1.5 86.5% 1.16 — —
Under 1.5 13.5% 7.43 — —
Over 2.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Under 2.5 32.8% 3.05 — —
Over 3.5 45.5% 2.20 — —
Under 3.5 54.5% 1.84 — —
Over 4.5 26.8% 3.74 — —
Under 4.5 73.2% 1.37 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.3% 1.53 — —
No 34.7% 2.88 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Marseille / Draw 44.6% 2.24 — —
Marseille / Paris Saint Germain 78.3% 1.28 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 77.2% 1.30 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
6.2
7.2
5.1
2.7
1.2
1
3.6
9.4
9.5
6.8
3.6
1.5
2
2.8
5.9
6.3
4.5
2.4
1.0
3
1.2
2.6
2.8
2.0
1.1
0.5
4
0.4
0.9
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Marseille goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Marseille
L W L W W
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Marseille Sep 2025 Marseille 1-0 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Marseille Oct 2024 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2024 Marseille 0-2 Paris Saint Germain Sep 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Marseille

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.