Sunday 11 November 2018, 18:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
64%
22%
14%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
14.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 14.3% | 6.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Manchester United | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 36.2% | 2.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
10.4
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
6.5
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Manchester United
2-0
Manchester City
Sep 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Manchester United
Apr 2025
Manchester United
0-0
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-2
Manchester United
Mar 2024
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester United
Oct 2023
Manchester United
0-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.