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Monday 29 October 2018, 22:00 Wembley Stadium Full time
35% 27% 38%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 34.6% 2.89
Draw 27.0% 3.70
Manchester City 38.4% 2.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.97
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.28
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 3.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.4% 6.96
Under 4.5 85.6% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.4% 1.77
No 43.6% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Tottenham / Manchester City 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Manchester City 65.4% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
8.4
6.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
1
7.8
12.8
8.5
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.7
8.1
5.7
2.7
0.9
0.3
3
2.5
3.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.8
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.