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Saturday 3 November 2018, 21:30 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
81% 14% 5%
Home win
80.9%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
5.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 80.9% 1.24
Draw 13.9% 7.21
Cagliari 5.2% 19.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.32
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.3% 5.48
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 4.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 4.5 80.0% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.62
No 61.8% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 94.8% 1.06
Juventus / Cagliari 86.1% 1.16
Draw / Cagliari 19.1% 5.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.3
6.5
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
14.9
7.9
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
12.8
6.7
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
8.2
4.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.