Saturday 3 November 2018, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
68%
21%
11%
Home win
67.9%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
11.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Genoa | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Inter / Genoa | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.5
|
9.9
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.9
|
9.3
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Inter
2-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
1-2
Inter
Feb 2025
Inter
1-0
Genoa
Aug 2024
Genoa
2-2
Inter
Mar 2024
Inter
2-1
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.