Wednesday 31 October 2018, 21:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
60%
24%
16%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
15.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Genoa | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Genoa | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
11.5
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.6
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Jan 2026
AC Milan
1-1
Genoa
May 2025
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
0-0
Genoa
May 2024
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
Oct 2023
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.