Sunday 28 October 2018, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
52%
25%
23%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Sampdoria | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
12.1
|
6.0
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.7
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.5
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
AC Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Sep 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Feb 2022
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2021
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan
Apr 2021
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.