Sunday 28 October 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
39%
29%
32%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
31.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Udinese | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Genoa / Udinese | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
9.4
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.8
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.3
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Genoa
0-2
Udinese
Dec 2025
Udinese
1-2
Genoa
Apr 2025
Genoa
1-0
Udinese
Dec 2024
Udinese
0-2
Genoa
Feb 2024
Genoa
2-0
Udinese
Oct 2023
Udinese
2-2
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.